Massachusetts is hemorrhaging people. In fact, it’s seeing the highest outmigration numbers in the last 30 years, according to a new report from the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation. A net 110,000 people moved out of the Bay State over roughly the first two years of the pandemic within the United States, most of them between the ages of 26 and 35.
2021 tax returns showed nearly 38,000 Massachusetts residents between the age of 26 and 35 moved out of the state in 2020.
"You expect to see 26- to 35-year-olds move in and out a lot," said Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation President Doug Howgate. "But the fact that it's the biggest loss sector ... that's a concern for that long-term workforce pipeline."
That kind of loss in the labor force impacts the state's ability to support its economy, he said.
Driving the news: The report from the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation found that a long-term decline in births and an aging population is also shrinking the Massachusetts workforce.
- Plus, remote workers don't want to live in such a high-cost area if they don't have to.
- And when commuters do need to get to work, they are met with poor roads and an aging train system.
The Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation found that more than 110,900 people left the state between April 2020 and July 2022. And some of the trends pushing residents out of Massachusetts might sound all too familiar to those still here.
Massachusetts had the lowest rental vacancy rate in the U.S. in 2022 and the second-highest median rents, Boston features the second-highest traffic delay times in the nation, and the state recently posted its highest outmigration numbers in 30 years, according to the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation.
But I like its latest report — a package of charts — because it highlights the full range of challenges facing the state. Here are some of the data points I found noteworthy.
On housing costs:
Doug Howgate, president of the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation, said Thursday that several implementation questions left unresolved by the ballot question “must be answered soon or the state will exacerbate negative behavioral impacts of the surtax,” including tax avoidance and taxpayers moving out of state.
Last summer, a report from the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation suggested high costs and taxes were helping drive tens of thousands of taxpayers out of the state every year. Between 2010 and 2019, about 800,000 tax filers with a combined $65 billion in adjusted gross income, left Massachusetts, based on Internal Revenue Service and U.S. Census Bureau data, the group said.
Yet, even with this solid foundation, there are warning signs we must heed.
According to a recent report from the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation, Massachusetts lost 46,000 residents in 2021, the 4th greatest state population loss in the country.
The Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation, in a report released last week, said the state’s population already was aging and growing at a slower rate before the COVID-19 pandemic, but that’s been “exacerbated” by employees’ ability to work remotely, which gave them the mobility to take new jobs in a tight labor market.
MTF President Eileen McAnneny said the state’s talent pipeline is contracting, a threat to sectors that have traditionally helped the state economy grow, like higher education and health care.